Montpellier vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MPL
0 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 4
MPL
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MPL
1 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
MPL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |