Montpellier vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1963 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
GIR
2 - 0
MPL
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
MON
3 - 1
MPL
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
MPL
2 - 0
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
LEN
3 - 0
MPL
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
LYO
3 - 3
TFC
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
TFC
0 - 5
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
TFC
5 - 2
SFP
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
ANG
1 - 3
TFC
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
TFC
0 - 0
GIR
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |