Montpellier vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
18º
13º
5
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Europa League
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
M05
3 - 1
MPL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 1
FCM
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
MPL
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 2
ASS
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 3
SOU
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
SCF
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 1
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 4
FEN
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
WOL
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |