Montpellier vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
18º
16º
34
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 11% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 22% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 0
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 2
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
MPL
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MPL
3 - 1
BRE
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 0
MPL
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
NIC
44%
25%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
LHA
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 1
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 4
GLA
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
STR
52%
24%
23%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |