Montpellier vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 3
MPL
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MPL
5 - 3
DIJ
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 2
MPL
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MPL
0 - 3
PSG
29%
27%
45%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 3
MPL
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |