Montpellier vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
STR
2 - 1
MPL
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
MPL
1 - 1
ASN
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
GIR
3 - 1
MPL
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
MPL
3 - 0
TFC
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
MAR
5 - 4
MPL
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
MET
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
67%
20%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
AUX
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
PSG
1 - 2
LOR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LOR
0 - 1
LYO
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |