Montpellier vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 0
MPL
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MPL
4 - 0
NAN
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
MPL
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
MPL
0 - 3
PSG
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 1
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 1
LIL
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |