Montpellier vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
MPL
3 - 1
SED
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
DIJ
1 - 0
MPL
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 4
MPL
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
MPL
1 - 2
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
REI
0 - 4
MPL
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 2
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
30%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
REN
2 - 1
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 3
LMU
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |