Montpellier vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
MON
4 - 0
MPL
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 1
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PSG
6 - 1
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 1
MAR
36%
28%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 2
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
28%
27%
44%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MET
0 - 1
LIL
47%
27%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 1
TFC
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |