Montpellier vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 2
MPL
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MPL
1 - 0
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 3
MPL
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MPL
2 - 0
SOC
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 2
MPL
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MPL
1 - 0
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 2
REN
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
LEN
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |