Montpellier vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
PSG
1 - 0
MPL
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
MPL
1 - 3
SOC
40%
24%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
ASS
4 - 0
MPL
76%
15%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MPL
1 - 2
MON
36%
24%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
STR
0 - 0
MPL
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 2
GIR
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
LYO
3 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
LEN
2 - 2
ASN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |