Montpellier vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 3
MPL
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 2
MPL
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
MPL
0 - 0
GUI
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 3
MPL
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
MPL
3 - 0
TRO
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 0
SOC
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 0
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 0
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
DUN
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
4 - 1
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |