Montpellier vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
DIJ
1 - 1
MPL
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 1
MET
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
MPL
0 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 2
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
TOU
2 - 3
CAE
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
4 - 0
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
LHA
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |