Montpellier vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
STR
3 - 1
MPL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
MPL
2 - 2
GIR
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
NIC
3 - 3
MPL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
MPL
2 - 0
ASS
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
MPL
1 - 0
TFC
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
MON
3 - 1
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
NAN
3 - 1
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
CAE
3 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
LEN
5 - 0
CAE
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |