Montpellier vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CAN
1 - 0
MPL
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
MPL
0 - 1
MON
25%
25%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MPL
2 - 2
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
ASN
0 - 0
MPL
30%
30%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
MPL
0 - 0
CAE
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
AUX
1 - 2
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 1
MET
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LHA
0 - 1
BAS
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |