Montpellier vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
LIL
6 - 1
MPL
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
MPL
1 - 1
MET
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1981 |
MPL
1 - 2
GIR
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 0
MPL
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
MPL
0 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
KOO
0 - 0
BAS
27%
22%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BAS
4 - 4
GIR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 2
BAS
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |