Montpellier vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
REI
3 - 1
MPL
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 3
MPL
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MPL
0 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MPL
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
6 - 1
SOU
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 2
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
STO
0 - 0
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
KFC
2 - 2
ARS
10%
17%
73%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |