Montluçon vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
65.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
POI
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
SEN
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ORL
2 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
LES
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
STA
2 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
NAN
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
NAN
3 - 1
AMI
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
MPL
0 - 0
NAN
32%
29%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 1
ANG
67%
22%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2007 |
USB
4 - 0
NAN
27%
29%
45%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |