Montluçon vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
THI
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
VAU
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
BOU
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
VCH
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
RVA
0 - 0
MON
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
STP
3 - 1
AUR
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VAU
2 - 1
AUR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
AUR
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
RVA
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 1
AUR
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |