Montluçon vs Ain Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
14º
14º
37
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
5 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
LIM
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MOU
2 - 3
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
HAL
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 0
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AIN
3 - 1
LDU
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 1
AIN
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 2
THO
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 4
AIN
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
AIN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |