Montilla vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 0
MON
70%
20%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
CRD
17%
25%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 2
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
SEV
30%
26%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
SEV
43%
25%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAB
2 - 2
CON
61%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
ASJ
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
SRO
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |