Montilla vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CDP
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CDR
30%
25%
45%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 1
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
CCF
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 4
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 2
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIS
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
UTR
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |