Montilla vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
LAV
3 - 0
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
UTR
19%
24%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SOL
1 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARH
4 - 1
LAV
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARH
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ARH
2 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 4
ARH
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ARH
2 - 0
UDM
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |