Montilla vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
0 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
CAB
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASJ
1 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
MON
87%
9%
3%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAD
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 2
REC
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAB
0 - 0
ALC
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
AYA
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |