Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-5
UD Montijo vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
MON
1 - 2
DBN
21%
27%
53%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ORE
0 - 2
MON
14%
24%
62%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MON
1 - 2
PLA
20%
28%
52%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
MON
3 - 0
UCL
55%
25%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
MOR
3 - 0
AZU
78%
15%
6%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
TAL
2 - 3
MOR
20%
29%
51%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
VAL
1 - 3
MOR
17%
28%
55%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
MOR
2 - 1
DBN
35%
28%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
MIA
1 - 0
MOR
30%
30%
40%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |