Montijo CD vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
4 - 1
CDM
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
CDM
1 - 0
BEL
29%
30%
42%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 0
CDM
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
CDM
0 - 2
VST
30%
31%
40%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VIT
4 - 1
BMA
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1977 |
LEX
2 - 1
VIT
32%
29%
40%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
VIT
1 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |