Montijo CD vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
CDM
3 - 0
BMA
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
LEX
1 - 0
CDM
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
CDM
1 - 0
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
4 - 1
CDM
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
VST
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BMA
0 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ACA
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEX
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |