Montija vs Villarcayo Nela B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAD
1 - 5
MON
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
SAL
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MON
10 - 2
ARA
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPD
0 - 1
MON
43%
21%
36%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALC
41%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCC
4 - 1
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDR
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JCC
3 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
TRE
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |