Monticelli vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ISE
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAT
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FER
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASD
38%
22%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
PES
5 - 0
SAN
89%
9%
2%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 4
SSS
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |