Monticelli vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JES
0 - 0
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
PIN
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
ROM
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
MAT
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ASD
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAM
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |