Monticelli vs Romagna Centro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
MAT
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
VIS
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 2
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Romagna Centro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 1
ASD
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |