Monticelli vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
MON
50%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 1
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
REC
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
SAN
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
JES
0 - 0
REC
66%
21%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
REC
0 - 4
VIS
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
REC
60%
21%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |