Monticelli vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIS
1 - 2
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
OLY
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
FER
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 1
MON
36%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
MAT
22%
25%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
18%
23%
60%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
REC
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |