Monticelli vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 3
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
MON
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
REC
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 1
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
JES
1 - 1
PIN
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
VIS
28%
24%
49%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 3
PIN
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
ASD
41%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |