Monticelli vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
PIN
35%
23%
43%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 3
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
JES
0 - 1
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
JES
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JES
1 - 4
VIS
26%
27%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
JES
1 - 1
PIN
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
JES
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |