Monticelli vs Folgore Veregra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
MON
37%
23%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GIU
3 - 0
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
ISE
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
VIS
59%
20%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Veregra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FVE
1 - 1
VIS
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
2 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
FVE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 2
FVE
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |