Monticelli vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
54%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
78%
13%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAT
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
3 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 4
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
CIV
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |