Monticelli vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
MON
52%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
SSS
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
REC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 2
VIS
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAM
43%
27%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHI
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |