Monticelli vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OLY
6 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
USN
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 2
MON
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASD
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAT
17%
25%
58%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |