Monticelli vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
SAM
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JES
0 - 0
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
PIN
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
ROM
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -3 |