Monticelli vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 0
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
LAQ
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
42%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
OLY
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 2
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
JES
2 - 2
AVE
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
4 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 2
PIN
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
AVE
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |