Monticelli vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SSS
4 - 5
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
SAN
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
JES
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 2
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 1
FER
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVE
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
AVE
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
4 - 3
OLY
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 1
AVE
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |