Monticelli vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
FRA
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAT
13%
24%
63%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
REC
4 - 0
MON
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 3
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JES
2 - 0
ASD
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
ASD
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 1
PIN
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 2
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |