Monticelli vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ISE
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
GIU
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ISE
0 - 5
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |