Montfoort vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfoort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HHC
3 - 1
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
GEN
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
IJS
16%
21%
62%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 3
RIJ
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 2
FCO
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ZWO
2 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
VOL
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
HEL
3 - 2
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |