Montfoort vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfoort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
SPA
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
GVV
17%
20%
62%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
KAT
6 - 1
MON
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 3
IJS
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
GVV
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SVZ
1 - 3
HAR
41%
23%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 4
RIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOO
1 - 0
HAR
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |