Montfoort vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfoort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
KAT
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 6
SPA
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HHC
3 - 1
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
GEN
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
RIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SVZ
3 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOO
2 - 0
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |