Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Valenciennes Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
4º
33
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
5 - 3
LIL
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MON
5 - 1
EVR
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LEN
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
DKQ
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 4
DRA
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AMI
1 - 4
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
FEI
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 1
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |