Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Olympique Marcq U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+470%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
14º
9º
12
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 53 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 43 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 40 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 38 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 30 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DKQ
3 - 1
MON
43%
23%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CAE
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Olympique Marcq U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
OLM
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
OLM
2 - 0
DKQ
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 0
OLM
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLM
5 - 1
ORL
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | +6 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 0
OLM
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | 0 |