Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Lille U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
8º
55
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 3
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DKQ
3 - 1
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
AMI
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 0
SRA
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
LIL
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
4 - 3
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DKQ
3 - 2
LIL
35%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |